Indeed Cyberworld, hence my initial statement: no conclusions, more many possibilities. I described one idea that I had regarding the lack of free will, but also have ideas of its existence. The existence of a being which allows free will, the God Phenomenon as you stated is one idea; another is the existence of variables of pure randomness within the equations of the universe; and furthermore ideas which I have yet to explore. Each idea is but a theory, all of which cannot be proven nor disproven, and many which create further questions and theories.
I personally don't believe in the unstable rule. I believe that under the exact same conditions matter tends to behave the same. The example you put forward is very complex and has many varying factors effecting it: disturbances in the air, air movement, air density, humidity, your muscles and the forces acting on them, their fatigue from maintaining your position and the glasses position, the challenges of developing the exact same water droplet by manual manipulation of the glass. Furthermore, taking from my previous theory on free will, one could go as far as to say that the exact same atoms are not interacting with each other each time the experiment was conducted and therefore it cannot be “exactly” the same each time. Just because it cannot be exactly reproducible doesn’t mean it is not unpredictable though. If I have equations to map all of the matter in the experiment I should be able to predict it.
Unfortunately this comes back to whether such a thing is possible and therefore, like my previous theory on freewill, is nothing more than a theory. But I guess that is what beliefs are, just theories. If it wasn’t a theory, it would be a fact and therefore knowledge. In this case I would know that the unstable rule was not true, but I don’t know that. It can be argued either way and neither proven nor disproven, therefore I can only believe or disbelieve in it.
With your last statement as to why; whenever someone asks me this I always counter it with why not.
Oh, btw, my real name is Kevin.