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Frogboy
Frogboy
Join Date 03/2001
+2419 sdemperor

Bill Gates: DVDs doomed in less than 10 years..

July 14, 2004 1:23:00 PM from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums

DVDs will be obsolete in 10 years at the latest, Microsoft boss and founder Bill Gates predicted. Asked what home entertainment would like in the future, Gates said that DVD technology would be "obsolete in 10 years at the latest. If you consider that nowadays we have to carry around film and music on little silver discs and stick them in the computer, it's ridiculous," Gates said in comments reproduced in German in the mass-circulation daily Bild. "These things can scratch or simply get lost."

 

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Frogboy
Watson
Join Date 02/2004
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Reply #1 July 14, 2004 2:05:50 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
What does he plan to replace them with...?
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Frogboy
Cyberjack
Join Date 10/2001
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Reply #2 July 14, 2004 2:28:37 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Maybe he thinks/means "not mechanical stuff", like memorycards etc.
Usb-sticks....

But who knows
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Frogboy
Keith Perry
Join Date 08/2003
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Reply #3 July 14, 2004 2:29:35 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
after reading the rest of the story...I'm assuming that the TV will be loaded to do everything...

...Gates' vision of television of the future was: "TV that will simply show what we want to see, when we want to see it. When we get home, the home computer will know who we are from our voice or our face. It will know what we want to watch, our favourite programmes, or what the kids shouldn't be allowed to see."



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Frogboy
PixelCargo
Join Date 05/2001
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Reply #4 July 14, 2004 2:41:16 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Stick a Tv Tuner in a computer make better software, there you go
Blue Ray disks can hold up to 50gig so thats a good start
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Frogboy
XX
Join Date 03/2001
+23
Reply #5 July 14, 2004 2:53:59 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Dunno. I just want to have local copies of some movies. Suppose I didn't have cable or internet for while? No movies!
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Frogboy
DesignCaddy
Join Date 06/2003
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Reply #6 July 14, 2004 3:37:34 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
divx, xx.
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Frogboy
messybuu
Join Date 05/2002
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Reply #7 July 14, 2004 4:41:19 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
I, Robot, here we come, except in the form or televisions!

Seriously though, I'd like to see something like USB sticks. They seem much tougher.
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Frogboy
NightTrainthedark
Join Date 07/2003
+255
Reply #8 July 14, 2004 4:59:18 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Bill Gates also had the vision of 1 video game console that would play everygame available for every sytem. Until he realized just how much money xbox was gonna make him. X Box was supposed to be that all purpose console. Microsoft is just trying to get their hands into everything.
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Frogboy
TaoX
Join Date 11/2001
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Reply #9 July 14, 2004 5:06:06 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
I personally think the furture of television is going to be what I'd call On-Demand TV. Where you could basically load any movie/tv-show etc... within a minute or so and watch it.. no matter what the movie or show was.

Basically the shows would download over high-speed connections. No more needing massive amounts of storage space, DVD's laying around everywhere or waiting for the show to come on so TIVO can record it.. ha... you just put in, I want 'The Jeffersons' and you could watch every episode in any order you choose.
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Frogboy
Watson
Join Date 02/2004
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Reply #10 July 14, 2004 5:15:52 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
TaoX do you subscribe to Insight Digital, because my cable service has alreay patented On-Demand TV
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Frogboy
digitalcarnage
Join Date 09/2001
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Reply #11 July 14, 2004 5:19:42 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Anyone remember this famous quote from "a guy" predicting the future?

"640k Should Be Enough for Anybody."
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Frogboy
nocool
Join Date 04/2003
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Reply #12 July 14, 2004 5:54:01 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Lol, I was about to say just that
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Frogboy
TheseThree
Join Date 01/2002
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Reply #13 July 14, 2004 6:40:24 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Only time will tell and I shudder to think that MS is leading the way in such technology.
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Frogboy
Digital3000
Join Date 04/2002
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Reply #14 July 14, 2004 6:53:38 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
I love how Bill makes these kind of statements, bet a couple months from now you'll see a new road map for a new technology microsoft is making to replace dvd's and cd's. Not that it's a bad thing, just funny how he will say one thing and do another..
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Frogboy
FullVa
Join Date 09/2001
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Reply #15 July 14, 2004 8:50:35 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
He said the same about the internet years ago...
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Frogboy
eieio
Join Date 03/2003
+52
Reply #16 July 14, 2004 9:10:52 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Just a shot in the dark here, but I'm guessing it will be replaced eventually by a system where you pay a subscription/monthly fee, browse a database and pick whatever movie, show, etc. you want to watch and it starts streaming from your entrtainment provider's server.
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Frogboy
kjay528
Join Date 12/2003
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Reply #17 July 14, 2004 9:37:36 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
I would just like to know if bill gates will be obsolete in ten year's. or will he be preprogramed to think he know's what WE want in a OS. >.
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Frogboy
tjesterb
Join Date 12/2003
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Reply #18 July 14, 2004 10:07:11 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
I'm sure whatever the Great Prophet Billy-Bob envisions will be proprietary to MS, so that all we peasants can come pay tithes and offerings at the altar of the great Redmond Giant, grateful for whatever system is decreed by by the All-Seeing, All-Knowing, Eye-of-Gates!
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Frogboy
joetheblow
Join Date 12/2001
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Reply #19 July 14, 2004 10:17:27 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Well, I just read an acticle on CNET about this and basically they are trying to head toward what could be called a home medai network. Of which means that all your movies are on a network, probably streamed to you through the Internet2 lines or some sort of cable, save what we want, when we want it and play it later.

I think there will still be live broadcasts and people will flock to them to "see it first" but you could just put it on the network and maybe even access it on the road even through remote (like in your car or big SUV... besides why have all those movie screens and not play movies or go on the internet?)

Its on CNET (or just check out my blog on JoeUser. its one of the links archive posts. Half the story is there (or less) and the other half is on CNET)
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Frogboy
Jafo
Join Date 03/2001
+1846 sdemployee
Reply #20 July 14, 2004 11:53:12 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums

Surely the next 'big thing' in own-your-own media will be solid state.....memory card storage and distribution of audio and video....no moving parts....and using logic access rather than 'transport buttons'.


That would be a logical progression....prior to streaming access direct, or alongside it at least.


I remember eons ago, when magnetic 'swipe' cards [eg. credit cards] came out a friend and I pondered their eventual use as media formats....and now flash memory sticks are all the rage supplanting cd burning as a reasonable-sized data portability method...

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Frogboy
SelfExiled
Join Date 12/2002
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Reply #21 July 15, 2004 1:25:14 AM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
Give me a shock resistant 50GB hard drive to hold my music library in my car stereo or portable "boom-box" and I'll agree.
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Frogboy
XX
Join Date 03/2001
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Reply #22 July 15, 2004 2:23:27 PM
from WinCustomize ForumsWinCustomize Forums
If size of bit information size were to be down to just atoms, something solid state the size of one cube inch would be more than entire state worth of media storage.

I'll bet that by that time we would be laughing on how small GB, TB and even Exabit were.

I'm sure thats enough storage for movie done in *3d* hologram.
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