It's been a while since I've read any of his columns, so I might have to go read a few to see if my impressions have changed.

He was a generally decent technical columnist, but a poor prognosticator. I don't think he's had even a 1 in 20 hit rate on his predictions.

Dvorak is far from the first to disparage blogging, both as a concept and as an avenue for expression. It's my feeling that many of these naysayers are scared to death of being irrelevant (and as a result, generally become irrelevant *because* of their fears).

nah, i dont really care, bloggin is nice, its basically, a new type of media. i never read, nor heard of this Dvorak dude, just now. all i know is that draginol is the main guy there.

Honestly, it is like the term 'blog' has replaced what would have been known as a 'webpage' in the early 90's; the single page, personal site. Since people have gotten more technically savvy with their HTML, everything has become topic-oriented webSITEs, and the personal page has kind of died. To me, the blog thing is a return to that idea.

That said, I don't think it will ever "die", but anything so broadly defined is gonna suffer a bit of drift. You don't know what you are gonna get when you visit a blog. I remember the first blogs I ever went to were long lists of interesting "FYI" links with short descriptions. Now they can be akin to a diary, a soapbox, a tutorial, pretty much anything.

I think 'blogging' will just subdivide and acquire more complex taxonomy as their content grows more varied and people want to frequent particular flavors.

Baker just said what I had in mind. There is nothing new about "blogging". It's just a label being put on something that's been around since day one.