It's been my experience that people who are technologically savvy are more prone to check out alternatives. I've not yet run into an average user who was consumed by the Firefox propaganda machine. I still have a few friends left at school who are using Firefox, but can't tell me why they're using it instead of IE, only that someone recommended that they should. Opera has been making some pleasing inroads. I greatly prefer the speed and stability of Opera over Firefox. It's my prediction that you'll see IE7 percentages rise over the next year. While I'm sure that they wont be nearly as high as the post-Netscape numbers, I would be willing to wage that, with the Microsoft corporate machine behind it, Firefox wont be able to keep up with IE7, now that IE is back in active development. That is of course, unless Microsoft repeats history and doesnt maintain consistant development on IE. The one fact that keeps me warm and fuzzy at night (as I am not a fan of Firefox) is that IE6+ will remain the business standard browser, which will keep the majority browser share across the web.
